Tropical Storm Andrea
And now we have our first named storm of the season, Andrea...
TS Andrea gained strength over the course of the day, becoming more organized; however the computer models form a consensus that the storm is not likely to reach Category 1 strength prior to landfall.
Andrea is projected to make landfall along an area between Crystal River to Apalachicola, with the Big Bend area the most likely target.
Gulf Coast Florida is currently under a Tropical Storm Warning until 8PM Friday, from Boca Grande to Ochlocknee river. The southeast US coast is under a Tropical Storm Watch during the same period, north from Flagler Beach.
Tampa Bay to Apalachicola can expect a storm surge up to 4 feet. Andrea is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 3"-6" inches over much of Florida, the Panhandle, and southeastern Georgia, with isolated amounts of 8" possible. A Flood Watch is in effect until 8PM Thursday for DeSoto, Hardee, Highlands, Hillsborough, Manatee, Pasco, Pinellas, Polk and
Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the coast within the warning area by Thursday afternoon, making outside preparations difficult or dangerous. Isolated tornadoes are possible over the Florida Peninsula late tonight through Thursday.
I will provide updates as they are posted.